E-Rating predictions at World Cup 1950

 

H/V - Home Visit Factor (1 for Visit, -1 for Home, 0 - Neutral)
Rs - Sellers Rating for teams (A or B)
Rb - Buyers Rating for teams (A or B)
Probability for A win B is (RsA/(RsA+RsB) + RbB/(RbB+RbA))/2
Real - Result for the 1st team; Pred - Predicted result for the 1st team

 

Data         Team A          Team B    GA GB H/G RsA  RsB  RbA RbB Real Pred
04.06.50     Brazil         Mexico      4  0 -1 2292  191  68  1087  W  W
25.06.50     England         Chile      2  0  0 2817  974  147  171  W  W
25.06.50      Spain           USA       3  1  0 2024  63   207 4845  W  W
25.06.50     Sweden          Italy      3  2  0 2715 2389  135  173  W  W
25.06.50   Switzerland    Yugoslavia    0  3  0 1406 2175  294  194  L  L
28.06.50     Brazil       Switzerland   2  2 -1 2292 1406  68   294  D  W
29.06.50      Chile          Spain      0  2  0  974 2024  171  207  L  L
29.06.50     England          USA       0  1  0 2817  63   147 4845  L  W
29.06.50     Mexico       Yugoslavia    1  4  0  191 2175 1087  194  L  L
29.06.50     Sweden        Paraguay     2  2  0 2715 1125  135  131  D  W
01.07.50     Brazil       Yugoslavia    2  0 -1 2292 2175  68   194  W  W
02.07.50      Chile           USA       5  2  0  974  63   171 4845  W  W
02.07.50      Italy        Paraguay     2  0  0 2389 1125  173  131  W  W
02.07.50     Mexico       Switzerland   1  2  0  191 1406 1087  294  L  L
02.07.50      Spain         England     1  0  0 2024 2817  207  147  W  L
02.07.50     Uruguay        Bolivia     8  0  0 1279  481  136  297  W  W
03.07.50     Brazil         Sweden      7  1 -1 2292 2715  68   135  W  W
09.07.50      Spain         Uruguay     2  2  0 2024 1279  207  136  D  W
13.07.50     Brazil          Spain      6  1 -1 2292 2024  68   207  W  W
13.07.50     Uruguay        Sweden      3  2  0 1279 2715  136  135  W  L
16.07.50     Brazil         Uruguay     1  2 -1 2292 1279  68   136  L  W
16.07.50      Spain         Sweden      1  3  0 2024 2715  207  135  L  L

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